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Collinson FX Market Commentary- January 15, 2014 - US rebounds

by Collinson FX on 16 Jan 2014
Auckland 18ft Skiff Championships - December 15, 2013 © Richard Gladwell www.photosport.co.nz

Collinson FX market Commentary: January 15, 2014, 2013

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US Equity markets rebounded after the stunning losses suffered the previous trading day. Losses were sustained due to fears over a weaker earnings season and the digestion of the horrible Employment data, Friday. Today Retail Sales improved 0.2% for the month of December, building on previous gains, supporting the theory of recovery in the all-important Consumer Sector.

The Economic situation seems to be improving and now leads to 'good news' being treated as 'good news'. The Dollar remains a litmus test and real improvement should be reflected in the growing strength of the reserve currency. The EUR was steady trading 1.3680 and the GBP 1.6450.

Commodities remained well supported and the associated currencies are well bid. The AUD is trading back under.9000 and the KIWI looks set to test 0.8400...this has pushed the NZD/AUD cross to above .9300.

They remain vulnerable to any big recovery in the USD and continued tapering of QE Infinity.


Collinson FX market Commentary: January 14, 2014, 2013

With little in the way of economic data release, markets were left to ponder the Fed. QE Infinity has flooded the markets with liquidity and tripled the Feds balance sheet.

The destruction of wealth and the US Dollar, has been enormous, but enhanced the competitiveness of America. The citizens are the major casualties, but equitiy owners, have gained much. Tapering has begun but the extent is not clear. The Eurozone has not fared well in the New Year and the EUR has dropped to 1.3650 with the GBP 1.6365.

The expansion of the money supply has undermined the value of the Dollar and has enhanced the prices of commodities.

The recovery in the associated currencies has begun with the AUD storming through the big, big figure and topping 0.9050 and the KIWI moving towards 0.8400. The weakness in the reserve currency is an indication markets do not believe that Yellen will continue tapering...


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